Learn to make your first quilt the easy way, with designer Carolyn Vagts! If you are a beginning quilter, or an expert just looking for new tips and techniques, this book is perfect for you. Carolyn walks you through making your first quilt with step-by-step photos and instructions, giving you her favorite tricks along the way. The book focuses in on one pattern consisting of one block, which can be turned in different directions to make an infinite number of designs! You will also learn which tools are best and how you can use them to make your quilting easier. Once you have mastered this easy quilt design, you will have all of the knowledge you need to try other projects!
Medical decision making has evolved in recent years, as more complex problems are being faced and addressed based on increasingly large amounts of data. In parallel, advances in computing have led to a host of new and powerful statistical tools to support decision making. Simulation-based Bayesian methods are especially promising, as they provide a unified framework for data collection, inference, and decision making. In addition, these methods are simple to interpret, and can help to address the most pressing practical and ethical concerns arising in medical decision making.<br> * Provides an overview of the necessary methodological background, including Bayesian inference, Monte Carlo simulation, and utility theory.<br> * Driven by three real applications, presented as extensively detailed case studies.<br> * Case studies include simplified versions of the analysis, to approach complex modelling in stages.<br> * Features coverage of meta-analysis, decision analysis, and comprehensive decision modeling.<br> * Accessible to readers with only a basic statistical knowledge.<br> Primarily aimed at students and practitioners of biostatistics, the book will also appeal to those working in statistics, medical informatics, evidence-based medicine, health economics, health services research, and health policy.
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